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Prognostic Impact of a Novel Albumin-Platelet Index as Selection Criterion for Hepatic Resection in Intermediate
Kyohei Yugawa1, Takashi Maeda2, Shigeyuki Nagata1
1Department of Surgery, Hiroshima Red Cross Hospital and Atomic Bomb Survivors Hospital, Hiroshima, Japa.
Background/Aim:
Hepatic resection for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B (intermediate-stage) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not recommended by BCLC treatment algorithms. We sought to develop a new prognostic model for determining appropriate treatment strategies in patients with intermediate-stage HCC.
Patients And Methods:
This single-center retrospective study included patients who underwent hepatic resection for HCC between 2000 and 2018. A total of 498 patients were classified according to the BCLC staging system (0, n=116; A, n=319; B, n=63). The predictive impact for surgical outcomes was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Based on a survival outcome probability formula, a new predictive model was established.
Results:
The preoperative albumin level and platelet count were the strongest diagnostic values in patients with intermediate-stage HCC (areas under the ROC curves, AUCs: 0.710 and 0.676, respectively). Logistic regression analysis provided the albumin-platelet index [API; 156.2×albumin (g/dl)+platelet count (×109/l)] was defined as a new prognostic model for the probability of poor survival. The optimal cutoff value (781.2; AUC 0.755) divided patients with BCLC-B into B1 (>781.2, n=27) and B2 (≤781.2, n=36) categories. Patients in substage B2 had a significantly worse prognosis than patients in other stages (p<0.0001), whereas there was no difference in prognosis between patients in substage B1 and those in other stages.
Conclusion:
The API stratifies prognosis in patients with intermediate-stage HCC. For subgroup B1, hepatic resection can be considered a radical treatment, even for intermediate-stage HCC.
