Future Health Risk Assessment of Exposure to PM_2.5 in Different Age Groups of Children in Northern Thailand

Particulate matter with a diameter less than 2.5 (PM_2.5) is one of the major threats posed by air pollution to human health. It penetrates the respiratory system, particularly the lungs. In northern Thailand, the PM_2.5 concentrations have significantly increased in the past decade, becoming a major concern for the health of children. This study aimed to assess the health risk of PM_2.5 in different age groups of children in northern Thailand between 2020 and 2029. Based on the PM_2.5 data from the simulation of the Nested Regional Climate Model with Chemistry (NRCM-Chem), the hazard quotient (HQ) was used to estimate the possible risk from PM_2.5 exposure in children. In general, all age groups of children in northern Thailand will tend to experience the threat of PM_2.5 in the future. In the context of age-related development periods, infants are at a higher risk than other groups (toddlers, young children, school age and adolescents), but adolescents also have a lower risk of exposure to PM_2.5, albeit maintaining a high HQ value (>1). Moreover, the analysis of risk assessment in different age groups of children revealed that PM_2.5 exposure might indeed affect adolescent risk differently depending on gender, with males generally at a heightened risk than females in adolescence.