Pre-radiotherapy ctDNA liquid biopsy for risk stratification of oligometastatic non-small cell lung cancer

The optimal treatment for patients with oligometastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains unclear. Some patients with oligometastatic disease can experience prolonged remission after locally consolidative radiation therapy (RT), while others harbor micrometastatic disease (below current limits of detection by imaging) that may benefit from further prioritization of systemic therapy. To better risk-stratify this population and identify the patients most likely to benefit from locally consolidative radiation therapy, we performed a multi-institutional cohort study of patients with oligometastatic NSCLC undergoing liquid biopsy analysis of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). Among this real-world cohort of 1,487 patients undergoing analysis (using the Tempus xF assay), a total of 1,880 ctDNA liquid biopsies along with paired clinical data were obtained across various timepoints. Approximately 20% (n=309) of patients had ctDNA obtained prior to RT and after their diagnosis of oligometastatic disease. Samples were de-identified and analyzed for mutational burden and variant frequencies of detectable deleterious (or likely deleterious) mutations in plasma. Patients with undetectable ctDNA before RT had significantly improved progression-free survival and overall survival compared to patients with detectable ctDNA prior to RT. In patients that received RT, 598 pathogenic (or likely deleterious) variants were identified. ctDNA mutational burden pre-RT and ctDNA maximum variant allele frequency (VAF) pre-RT were both significantly inversely correlated with both progression-free (P = 0.0031 for mutational burden, P = 0.0084 for maximum VAF) and overall survival (P = 0.045 for mutational burden, P = 0.0073 for maximum VAF). Patients without detectable ctDNA prior to RT had significantly improved progression-free survival (P = 0.004) and overall survival (P = 0.03) compared to patients with detectable ctDNA prior to RT. These data suggest that in patients with oligometastatic NSCLC, pre-radiotherapy ctDNA analysis can potentially identify the patients most likely to benefit from locally consolidative RT and experience prolonged progression-free and overall survival. Similarly, ctDNA may be useful to identify those patients with undiagnosed micrometastatic disease, in whom it may be appropriate to prioritize systemic therapy.