Cross-classification by systolic and diastolic blood pressure levels and chronic kidney disease, proteinuria, or

Tsukasa Suenaga1, Michihiro Satoh2,3, Takahisa Murakami1,4,5

  • 1Division of Public Health, Hygiene and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, Tohoku Medical and Pharmaceutical University, Sendai, Japan.

Insights

High blood pressure (BP), particularly elevated diastolic BP, significantly increases chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk in middle-aged adults. Monitoring BP is crucial for predicting and preventing CKD progression.

Area of Science:

  • Nephrology
  • Cardiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Predicting and preventing new-onset chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a significant public health concern.
  • Blood pressure (BP) is a modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular and kidney diseases.
  • Understanding the specific impact of systolic and diastolic BP on CKD risk is essential for targeted interventions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the risk of new-onset chronic kidney disease (CKD) based on cross-classification of systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP and DBP).
  • To identify which BP component, SBP or DBP, is more strongly associated with CKD development and progression.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective population-based cohort study using the JMDC database of 1,492,291 Japanese participants (<75 years) without prior CKD or antihypertensive treatment.
  • Participants were followed for a mean of 3.2 years.
  • CKD was defined as proteinuria and/or an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m².

Main Results:

  • High SBP and DBP were both significantly associated with an elevated CKD risk compared to SBP/DBP <120/<80 mmHg.
  • Diastolic BP showed a stronger association with CKD risk than SBP.
  • SBP/DBP ≥150/<80 mmHg was strongly linked to increased eGFR decline, indicating a heightened risk of CKD progression.

Conclusions:

  • Elevated BP, especially isolated high diastolic BP, is a significant risk factor for CKD in middle-aged individuals without pre-existing kidney disease.
  • Close monitoring of kidney function, particularly eGFR decline, is recommended for individuals with low diastolic BP and very high systolic BP.
  • These findings underscore the importance of BP management in CKD prevention strategies.

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