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Area of Science:

  • Medical Informatics
  • Patient Safety Research
  • Surgical Quality Improvement

Background:

  • Surgical
  • Never Events
  • are preventable errors during surgical procedures.
  • Risk factors for these events are not well quantified in relation to surgical characteristics.
  • Machine learning offers a novel approach to identify and quantify these risks.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify and quantify risk factors contributing to major surgical
  • Never Events
  • using machine learning.
  • To improve patient safety and the quality of surgical care.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from 9,234 safety observations and 101 root-cause analyses of
  • Never Events
  • (wrong site surgery, retained foreign items).
  • Employed three random forest supervised machine learning models.
  • Evaluated model performance using 10-cross validation and Gini impurity.

Main Results:

  • Identified 24 contributing factors across six surgical departments.
  • Quantified significant risk factor impacts, with some exceeding 900% in specific departments like Urology and Orthopedics.
  • Found pairs of factors increased event probability, particularly in Gynecology (875-1900%) and General Surgery (2720-13,600%).
  • Specific factors like surgery length and nurse involvement showed varying impacts on wrong site surgery and retained foreign body events.

Conclusions:

  • Machine learning effectively quantified risk factor impact on specific
  • Never Events
  • relative to surgical characteristics.
  • Recommends adjusting safety standards based on risk assessments tailored to individual operating rooms and surgical types.