Triglyceride-glucose index is associated with the risk of chronic kidney disease progression in type 2 diabetes

The study aimed to investigate the association of TyG index with chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

A total of 179 T2DM patients with CKD were retrospectively included. CKD progression was defined as a doubling of baseline serum creatinine or onset of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Internal validation was performed by the Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) model and Net reclassification improvement (NRI).

The optimal cut-off value of the TyG index was 9.17. The cumulative incidence of kidney outcomes was significantly higher in the high-TyG group (v.s low-TyG group, P = 0.019). In addition, the high-TyG index was associated with a greater risk of CKD progression (HR 1.794, 95% CI 1.026-3.137, P = 0.040). And reclassification analyses confirmed the final adjusted model improved NRI (61.90% v.s model 2, 43.80% v.s model 1). The further RCS curves presented an inverted S-shaped relationship between the TyG index and the risk of CKD progression. Internal validation verified that a higher TyG index was associated with 2.10-fold increased odds of 2-year ESKD risk >10% (95% CI 1.82-8.21). Moreover, subgroup analysis suggested that the association was more pronounced in those at relatively early CKD stages (higher than stage 2) and with no medication history of oral hypoglycemic agents.

An elevated TyG index was associated with a higher risk of CKD progression in T2DM patients. Our findings suggested that timely targeting insulin sensitivity at the early stages of T2DM might be associated with declined future risk of CKD development.