Identifying modifiable factors and their joint effect on dementia risk in the UK Biobank
Yi Zhang1, Shi-Dong Chen1, Yue-Ting Deng1
1Department of Neurology and Institute of Neurology, Huashan Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Medical Neurobiology and MOE Frontiers Center for Brain Science, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, National Center for Neurological Disorders, Shanghai, China.
Abstract:
Previous hypothesis-driven research has identified many risk factors linked to dementia. However, the multiplicity and co-occurrence of risk factors have been underestimated. Here we analysed data of 344,324 participants from the UK Biobank with 15 yr of follow-up data for 210 modifiable risk factors. We first conducted an exposure-wide association study and then combined factors associated with dementia to generate composite scores for different domains. We then evaluated their joint associations with dementia in a multivariate Cox model. We estimated the potential impact of eliminating the unfavourable profiles of risk domains on dementia using population attributable fraction. The associations varied by domain, with lifestyle (16.6%), medical history (14.0%) and socioeconomic status (13.5%) contributing to the majority of dementia cases. Overall, we estimated that up to 47.0%-72.6% of dementia cases could be prevented.
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