Development and validation of predictive model based on deep learning method for classification of dyslipidemia in...

Dyslipidemia is a prominent risk factor for cardiovascular diseases and one of the primary independent modifiable factors of diabetes and stroke. Statins can significantly improve the prognosis of dyslipidemia, but its side effects cannot be ignored. Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) has been used in clinical practice for more than 2000 years in China and has certain traits in treating dyslipidemia with little side effect. Previous research has shown that Mutual Obstruction of Phlegm and Stasis (MOPS) is the most common dyslipidemia type classified in TCM. However, how to compose diagnostic factors in TCM into diagnostic rules relies heavily on the doctor's experience, falling short in standardization and objectiveness. This is a limit for TCM to play its advantages of treating dyslipidemia with MOPS.

In this study, the syndrome diagnosis in TCM was transformed into the prediction and classification problem in artificial intelligence The deep learning method was employed to build the classification prediction models for dyslipidemia. The models were built and trained with a large amount of multi-centered clinical data on MOPS. The optimal model was screened out by evaluating the performance of prediction models through loss, accuracy, precision, recall, confusion matrix, PR and ROC curve (including AUC).

A total of 20 models were constructed through the deep learning method. All of them performed well in the prediction of dyslipidemia with MOPS. The model-11 is the optimal model. The evaluation indicators of model-11 are as follows: The true positive (TP), false positive (FP), true negative (TN) and false negative (FN) are 51, 15, 129, and 9, respectively. The loss is 0.3241, accuracy is 0.8672, precision is 0.7138, recall is 0.8286, and the AUC is 0.9268. After screening through 89 diagnostic factors of TCM, we identified 36 significant diagnosis factors for dyslipidemia with MOPS. The most outstanding diagnostic factors from the importance were dark purple tongue, slippery pulse and slimy fur, etc.

This study successfully developed a well-performing classification prediction model for dyslipidemia with MOPS, transforming the syndrome diagnosis problem in TCM into a prediction and classification problem in artificial intelligence. Patients with dyslipidemia of MOPS can be accurately recognized through limited information from patients. We also screened out significant diagnostic factors for composing diagnostic rules of dyslipidemia with MOPS. The study is an avant-garde attempt at introducing the deep-learning method into the research of TCM, which provides a useful reference for the extension of deep learning method to other diseases and the construction of disease diagnosis model in TCM, contributing to the standardization and objectiveness of TCM diagnosis.