Changes in renal function over time in outpatients with eGFR ≥ 30 mL/min/1.73 m²: implication for timing of renal...

To evaluate the associations between comorbidities and kidney function decline at 6-month and 1-year follow-up in outpatients with initial estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥ 30 mL/min/1.73 m².

Outpatients aged 18 and older with confirmed diagnosis, who had eGFR ≥ 30 mL/min/1.73 m² measured between April 2017 and March 2019, were included in this retrospective observational study. Of them, 30,595 included outpatients had 6-month eGFR test and 27,698 included outpatients had 1-year eGFR test. The outpatients were further divided into two groups based on initial eGFR: between 30 and 59 and ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m². Impaired renal function was defined as eGFR declined to below 30 mL/min/1.73 m². The comorbidities with P values less than 0.1 identified in univariable logistic regression models were entered into the multivariable analysis with backward selection, thereby identifying comorbidities that increased the risk of eGFR decline at 6-month and 1-year follow-up.

Outpatients with initial eGFR between 30 and 59 mL/min/1.73 m² were 175.94 times more likely to have eGFR decline at 6 months, and were 94.10 times more likely to have eGFR decline at 1 year, compared with their corresponding initial eGFR ≥ 60 counterparts. Multivariable logistic regression analyses disclosed that chronic kidney disease, hypertension, and heart failure were independent risk factors for eGFR decline in outpatients with initial eGFR between 30 and 59 mL/min/1.73 m².

Outpatients with initial eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m² might not need routine eGFR test prior to contrast-enhanced CT scan for 1 year. In addition, chronic kidney disease, hypertension, and heart failure increased the risk of declined renal function, particularly, in outpatients with initial eGFR between 30 and 59 mL/min/1.73 m².