A consensual machine-learning-assisted QSAR model for effective bioactivity prediction of xanthine oxidase inhibitors...

Xanthine oxidase inhibitors (XOIs) have been widely studied due to the promising potential as safe and effective therapeutics in hyperuricemia and gout. Currently, available XOI molecules have been developed from different experiments but they are with the wide structure diversity and significant varying bioactivities. So it is of great practical significance to present a consensual QSAR model for effective bioactivity prediction of XOIs based on a systematic compiling of these XOIs across different experiments. In this work, 249 XOIs belonging to 16 scaffolds were collected and were integrated into a consensual dataset by introducing the concept of IC₅₀ values relative to allopurinol (RIC₅₀). Here, extended connectivity fingerprints (ECFPs) were employed to represent XOI molecules. By performing effective feature selection by machine-learning method, 54 crucial fingerprints were indicated to be valuable for predicting the inhibitory potency (IP) of XOIs. The optimal predictor yields the promising performance by different cross-validation tests. Besides, an external validation of 43 XOIs and a case study on febuxostat also provide satisfactory results, indicating the powerful generalization of our predictor. Here, the predictor was interpreted by shapely additive explanation (SHAP) method which revealed several important substructures by mapping the featured fingerprints to molecular structures. Then, 15 new molecules were designed and predicted by our predictor to show superior IP than febuxostat. Finally, molecular docking simulation was performed to gain a deep insight into molecular binding mode with xanthine oxidase (XO) enzyme, showing that molecules with selenazole moiety, cyano group and isopropyl group tended to yield higher IP. The absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion and toxicity (ADMET) prediction results further enhanced the potential of these novel XOIs as drug candidates. Overall, this work presents a QSAR model for accurate prediction of IP of XOIs, and is expected to provide new insights for further structure-guided design of novel XOIs.