Prediction of KRASG12C inhibitors using conjoint fingerprint and machine learning-based QSAR models

Tarapong Srisongkram1, Patcharapa Khamtang2, Natthida Weerapreeyakul1

  • 1Division of Pharmaceutical Chemistry, Faculty of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Khon Kaen University, 40002, Thailand.

Insights

Machine learning-based quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) analysis was used to predict KRASG12C inhibitor affinities. The developed XGBoost-QSAR model shows high performance for identifying potential drug candidates for non-small cell lung cancer.

Area of Science:

  • Computational Chemistry
  • Medicinal Chemistry
  • Oncology

Background:

  • Kirsten rat sarcoma virus G12C (KRASG12C) is a key mutation driving non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) severity.
  • Targeting KRASG12C represents a critical therapeutic strategy for NSCLC patients.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a cost-effective, data-driven drug design approach using machine learning (ML).
  • To build and validate a ML-based quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) model for predicting ligand affinities against the KRASG12C protein.

Main Methods:

  • A curated dataset of 1033 compounds with KRASG12C inhibitory activity (pIC50) was utilized.
  • Four types of molecular fingerprints (PubChem, Substructure, Substructure count, and conjoint) were employed to train ML models.
  • XGBoost regression (XGBoost) was selected as the primary ML algorithm, with comprehensive validation methods applied.

Main Results:

  • The XGBoost-QSAR model demonstrated excellent performance, with R2 = 0.81, Q2CV = 0.60, and Q2Ext = 0.62.
  • Key molecular fingerprints correlated with pIC50 values included aromatic atoms, chiral centers, chlorine presence, and various ring structures.
  • Molecular docking experiments validated the identified molecular fingerprints.

Conclusions:

  • The developed conjoint fingerprint and XGBoost-QSAR model is a robust and effective tool.
  • This model can be utilized for high-throughput screening to identify novel KRASG12C inhibitors for drug design.