Population Segmentation for COVID-19 Vaccine Outreach: A Clustering Analysis and Implementation in Missouri

The purpose of this work was to segment the Missouri population into unique groups related to COVID-19 vaccine acceptance using data science and behavioral science methods to develop tailored vaccine outreach strategies.

Cluster analysis techniques were applied to a large data set that aggregated vaccination data with behavioral and demographic data from the American Community Survey and Deloitte's HealthPrism™ data set. Outreach recommendations were developed for each cluster, specific to each group's practical and motivational barriers to vaccination.

Following selection procedures, 10 clusters-or segments-of census tracts across Missouri were identified on the basis of k -means clustering analysis of 18 different variables. Each cluster exhibited unique geographic, demographic, socioeconomic, and behavioral patterns, and outreach strategies were developed on the basis of each cluster's practical and motivational barriers.

The segmentation analysis served as the foundation for "working groups" comprising the 115 local public health agencies (LPHAs) across the state. LPHAs with similar community segments in their service area were grouped together to discuss their communities' specific challenges, share lessons learned, and brainstorm new approaches. The working groups provided a novel way for public health to organize and collaborate across the state. Widening the aperture beyond Missouri, population segmentation via cluster analysis is a promising approach for public health practitioners interested in developing a richer understanding of the types of populations they serve. By pairing segmentation with behavioral science, practitioners can develop outreach programs and communications campaigns that are personalized to the specific behavioral barriers and needs of the population in focus. While our work focused on COVID-19, this approach has broad applicability to enhance the way public health practitioners understand the populations they serve to deliver more tailored services.