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Climate variability, agricultural technologies adoption, and productivity in rural Nigeria: a plot-level analysis
1Living Standards Measurement Study, Development Data Group, World Bank, Washington, DC USA.
Sustainable agricultural practices (SAPs) adoption in Nigeria is influenced by climate variability and socioeconomic factors. Inorganic fertilizer use positively impacts crop productivity, highlighting the need for targeted agricultural policies and infrastructure development.
Area of Science:
- Agricultural Economics
- Sustainable Agriculture
- Climate Change Adaptation
Background:
- Increasing agricultural productivity is key to poverty reduction and sustainable development in rural areas.
- Adoption of sustainable agricultural practices (SAPs) is crucial for enhancing crop yields in a changing climate.
- This study investigates factors influencing the adoption of multiple SAPs and their productivity impacts in Nigeria.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine the determinants of adoption and intensity of use for multiple SAPs (improved seeds, organic/inorganic fertilizers, legume intercropping).
- To assess the impact of SAP adoption on crop productivity.
- To understand the role of climate variability in SAP adoption decisions.
Main Methods:
- Utilized nationally representative, geo-referenced plot-level data from a Nigerian household survey.
- Employed multivariate and ordered probit models for adoption and intensity analysis.
- Applied instrumental variables approach to determine the impact of SAPs on productivity.
Main Results:
- Evidence of interdependences between different SAPs, with distinct factors influencing initial adoption versus intensity of use.
- Climate risks (temperature and rainfall variability) significantly affect SAP adoption and intensity.
- Access to extension services, education, off-farm activities, and wealth influence improved seed and inorganic fertilizer adoption; livestock and soil quality impact organic fertilizer use.
Conclusions:
- Results inform rural development policies to encourage multiple SAP adoption and boost crop production.
- Recommendations include strengthening extension services, promoting livelihood diversification, and developing climate-resilient crop varieties.
- Improved infrastructure for market and credit access is essential for farmers to adopt innovations.
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