Evaluation of large-scale highly polymorphic microhaplotypes in complex DNA mixtures analysis using RMNE method

DNA mixture interpretation is one of the most challenging problems in forensics. Complex DNA mixtures are more difficult to analyze when there are more than two contributors or related contributors. Microhaplotypes (MHs) are polymorphic genetic markers recently discovered and employed in DNA mixture analysis. However, the evidentiary interpretation of the MH genotyping data needs more debate. The Random Man Not Excluded (RMNE) method analyzes DNA mixtures without using allelic peak height data or the number of contributors (NoC) assumptions. This study aimed to assess how well RMNE interpreted mixed MH genotyping data. We classified the MH loci from the 1000 Genomes Project database into groups based on their Ae values. Then we performed simulations of DNA mixtures with 2-10 unrelated contributors and DNA mixtures with a pair of sibling contributors. For each simulated DNA mixture, incorrectly included ratios were estimated for three types of non-contributors: random men, parents of contributors, and siblings of contributors. Meanwhile, RMNE probability was calculated for contributors and three types of non-contributors, allowing loci mismatch. The results showed that the MH number, the MH Ae values, and the NoC affected the RMNE probability of the mixture and the incorrectly included ratio of non-contributors. When there were more MHs, MHs with higher Ae values, and a mixture with less NoC, the RMNE probability, and the incorrectly included ratio decreased. The existence of kinship in mixtures complicated the mixture interpretation. Contributors' relatives as non-contributors and related contributors in the mixture increased the demands on the genetic markers to identify the contributors correctly. When 500 highly polymorphic MHs with Ae values higher than 5 were used, the four individual types could be distinguished according to the RMNE probabilities. This study reveals the promising potential of MH as a genetic marker for mixed DNA interpretation and the broadening of RMNE as a parameter indicating the relationship of a specific individual with a DNA mixture in the DNA database search.