Comparison of new and emerging SARS-CoV-2 variant transmissibility through active contact testing. A comparative

Katherine M Gaskell1, Natalie El Kheir1, Mariyam Mirfendesky2

  • 1Clinical Research Department, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.

Plos One
|April 24, 2023
PubMed

Insights

The Alpha variant of SARS-CoV-2 showed higher household transmission than earlier strains. Serology revealed the Alpha variant doubled infection risk, highlighting the need for improved secondary attack rate estimates.

Area of Science:

  • Virology
  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Historically, SARS-CoV-2 secondary attack rates (SAR) relied on PCR testing of symptomatic contacts, potentially underestimating transmission.
  • This method misses asymptomatic infections and transmission events occurring before symptom onset or testing.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare the household secondary attack rates of the Alpha variant of concern (VOC) against non-VOC SARS-CoV-2 strains.
  • To assess the relative transmissibility of the Alpha variant using serological data.

Main Methods:

  • A household seroprevalence survey was conducted between November 2020 and January 2021 in London.
  • Index patients with Alpha VOC and non-VOC SARS-CoV-2 infections were identified from two hospitals.
  • Serological testing was used to determine infection status in household contacts.

Main Results:

  • Household contacts exposed to the Alpha variant had a significantly higher seropositivity rate (82.1%) compared to those exposed to non-VOC strains (61.8%).
  • Exposure to an index patient with the Alpha variant doubled the odds of infection among household contacts.
  • Transmission events were detected in nearly all participating households.

Conclusions:

  • Serological data provide a more accurate assessment of SARS-CoV-2 secondary attack rates compared to PCR-based methods alone.
  • The Alpha variant demonstrated increased transmissibility within households.
  • Estimates of SAR should incorporate serological data for a comprehensive understanding of viral spread.