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Predicting new crescent moon visibility applying machine learning algorithms.

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Machine learning accurately predicts new crescent Moon visibility to determine the start of Ramadan. This AI approach addresses challenges in lunar observations for the Islamic calendar, aiding religious event timing.

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Area of Science:

  • Computational Astronomy
  • Islamic Studies
  • Artificial Intelligence

Background:

  • The global Muslim population is rapidly increasing, necessitating accurate determination of Islamic calendar events.
  • The Hijri (Islamic lunar) calendar relies on new crescent Moon observation, leading to discrepancies in determining key dates like Ramadan.
  • Current methods for lunar observation are imprecise, causing a lack of consensus within the Muslim community.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose and evaluate machine learning algorithms for predicting new crescent Moon visibility.
  • To enhance the accuracy and consistency of determining the start of Ramadan and other Islamic lunar months.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized machine learning algorithms, including Random Forest and Support Vector Machine classifiers.
  • Trained and tested models on data related to new crescent Moon visibility.
  • Compared the performance of various classifiers for prediction accuracy.

Main Results:

  • Machine learning models demonstrated very good prediction and evaluation performance.
  • Random Forest and Support Vector Machine classifiers showed particularly promising results.
  • The study achieved accurate predictions for new Moon visibility, crucial for lunar calendar events.

Conclusions:

  • Machine learning offers a viable and accurate solution for predicting new crescent Moon visibility.
  • This AI-driven approach can help resolve the lack of consensus in determining the start of Ramadan.
  • The findings support the integration of AI in astronomical calculations for religious observances.