Evaluation of the potential stranding risk for aquatic organisms according to long-term morphological changes and...

Hydropeaking is one of the major hydropower-related disturbances of natural processes in river systems. The artificial flow fluctuations that are caused by the on-demand production of electricity are known for their severe impacts on aquatic ecosystems. These particularly affect those species and life stages that are not able to adjust their habitat selection to rapid up- and downramping rates. To date, the stranding risk has both experimentally and numerically mainly been investigated with variable hydropeaking graphs over stable river bathymetries. There is a lack of knowledge on how single, discrete peaking events vary concerning their impact on the stranding risk when the river morphology changes in the long-term perspective. The present study precisely addresses this knowledge gap by investigating morphological changes on the reach scale over a period of 20 years and the related variability of the lateral ramping velocity as a proxy for stranding risk. Two alpine gravel bed rivers impacted by hydropeaking over decades were tested by applying a one-dimensional and two-dimensional unsteady modelling approach. Both the Bregenzerach River and the Inn River exhibit alternating gravel bars on the reach scale. The results of the morphological development, however, showed different developments in the period 1995-2015. The Bregenzerach River displayed continuous aggradation (uplift of river bed) over the various selected submonitoring periods. In contrast, the Inn River showed continuous incision (erosion of river bed). The stranding risk exhibited high variability on a single cross-sectional basis. However, on the reach scale, no significant changes in stranding risk were calculated for either river reach. In addition, the impacts of river incision on the substrate composition were investigated. Here, in line with preceding studies, the results show that the coarsening of substrate increases the stranding risk and that especially the d₉₀ (90 % finer of the grain size distribution) must be considered. The present study reveals that the quantified stranding risk of aquatic organisms is a function of the general morphological (bar) characteristics of the impacted river and both the morphological and grain size development have an impact on the potential stranding risk of aquatic organisms and should be considered in the revision of licences in the management of multi-stressed river systems.