Predictors and outcome of malignant cerebral edema after successful reperfusion in anterior circulation stroke

Mingjun Pu1, Jun Chen2, Zhonglun Chen2

  • 1Department of Neurology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China; Mianyang Central Hospital, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Mianyang 621000, China.

Abstract

Insights

Malignant cerebral edema (MCE) after successful endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) occurs in 15.6% of patients, predicting poor outcomes. Key predictors include glucose, NIHSS score, etiology, occlusion site, and longer puncture-to-reperfusion times.

Area of Science:

  • Neurology
  • Neurosurgery
  • Stroke Medicine

Background:

  • Malignant cerebral edema (MCE) is a severe complication following successful endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke.
  • Predictors and incidence of MCE post-EVT require further elucidation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the incidence of MCE after successful reperfusion in ischemic stroke patients treated with EVT.
  • To identify risk factors and develop a predictive model for MCE post-EVT.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 307 ischemic stroke patients undergoing EVT (November 2015 - April 2022).
  • Exclusion of patients with failed reperfusion (mTICI < 2b).
  • Development and validation of a predictive nomogram using multivariate logistic regression and ROC analysis.

Main Results:

  • MCE was diagnosed in 48 (15.6%) patients post-successful reperfusion.
  • MCE patients exhibited significantly worse 3-month outcomes (favorable: 15.2% vs 59.6%; good: 17.4% vs 68.4%) and higher mortality (54.3% vs 8.8%).
  • Predictors identified: admission glucose, baseline NIHSS score, stroke etiology, occlusion site, and puncture-to-reperfusion (PTR) time > 120 min. Nomogram AUC: 0.805.

Conclusions:

  • MCE post-successful EVT is strongly associated with poor functional outcomes and increased mortality.
  • A nomogram incorporating admission glucose, baseline NIHSS, stroke etiology, occlusion site, and PTR time can predict MCE risk in EVT-treated stroke patients.

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