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Published on: September 28, 2018
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Public Opinion and Cyberterrorism.
Ryan Shandler1, Nadiya Kostyuk2, Harry Oppenheimer3
1Postdoctoral Research Fellow, Blavatnik School of Government and Nuffield College, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Public Opinion Quarterly
|April 28, 2023
Summary
Public opinion shapes the understanding of cyber threats. Research shows people label data-disseminating cyberattacks as terrorism more than physical attacks, regardless of the attacker’s origin.
Area of Science:
- Cybersecurity and International Relations
- Public Opinion Studies
- Political Science
Background:
- Growing research in cyber-conflict, public opinion, and international security faces conceptual ambiguity.
- The label "cyberterrorism" has significant implications for counterterrorism powers and public threat perception.
- Public opinion's role in defining cyber threats is often overlooked amidst definitional disputes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a framework for understanding public classification of cyberattacks as cyberterrorism.
- To empirically test how attributes of cyberattacks influence public perception of them as terrorism.
- To examine cross-national public opinion on cyberterrorism in the United States, United Kingdom, and Israel.
Main Methods:
- A ratings-based conjoint experiment involving 21,238 observations across three countries.
- Development of a typological framework to identify drivers of cyberterrorism classification.
- Comparative analysis of public perceptions of cyberattacks based on varying attributes.
Main Results:
- The public does not label attacks by unknown actors or hacker collectives as cyberterrorism.
- Attacks disseminating sensitive data are classified as terrorism more readily than physical attacks.
- Uniform public perspectives across the US, UK, and Israel challenge existing international relations scholarship.
Conclusions:
- Establishes a conceptual baseline for future research on cyberterrorism and public opinion.
- Highlights the significant role of data dissemination as a factor in public perception of cyberterrorism.
- Demonstrates surprising cross-national consensus on cyberterrorism definitions, challenging elite-driven foreign policy theories.
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