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Epidemiological study of calcified aortic valve stenosis in a Chinese community population
Jun Chen1,2, Lingchun Lyu1, Jiayi Shen1
1Department of Cardiology, Lishui Central Hospital and Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical College, Lishui, Zhejiang, China.
Insights
Calcified aortic valve stenosis (CAVS) is common in older adults. Key risk factors include age, pulse pressure, HbA1c, uric acid, and lipoprotein(a), while HDL-C is protective.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Epidemiology
- Geriatrics
Background:
- Calcified aortic valve disease is the most prevalent cardiac valve disorder, particularly in an aging global population.
- Calcified aortic valve stenosis (CAVS) represents a significant health concern requiring investigation into its prevalence and risk factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the prevalence of CAVS in a Chinese population.
- To identify independent risk factors associated with CAVS.
- To develop and validate a predictive model for CAVS risk.
Main Methods:
- Cross-sectional baseline survey of 3067 participants from the PRECISE study.
- Logistic regression models (univariable and multivariable) to identify CAVS risk factors.
- Development of a prediction model using a nomogram, assessed by ROC curve and calibration analysis.
Main Results:
- CAVS prevalence increased with age: 4.1% ( <60), 10.3% (60-70), and 21.9% ( >70).
- Independent risk factors identified: age, pulse pressure, uric acid, glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), and lipoprotein(a).
- High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) was found to be a protective factor.
- The prediction model demonstrated good discrimination (AUC = 0.743).
Conclusions:
- CAVS is highly prevalent in the elderly Chinese population.
- Age, pulse pressure, HbA1c, lower HDL-C, lipoprotein(a), and uric acid are significant independent risk factors for CAVS.
- The developed prediction model offers a valuable tool for assessing CAVS risk.
Background And Aims:
Due to the ageing global population, calcified aortic valve disease is currently the most common cardiac valve disorder. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence and the risk factors for calcified aortic valve stenosis (CAVS), and develop a prediction model for predicting CAVS risk.
Methods And Results:
This study was derived from the cross-sectional baseline survey of the PRECISE study (NCT03178448). The demographic, clinical and laboratory information of each participant was obtained. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to determine CAVS risk factors. A prediction model for predicting CAVS risk based on risk factors was developed and the result was performed by nomogram. The discrimination of the prediction model was assessed by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The degree of fitting for the prediction model was assessed by calibration curve analysis. A total of 3067 participants (1427 men and 1640 women) were included. The prevalence of CAVS among those aged below 60 years old, 60-70 years old and over 70 years old was 4.1%, 10.3% and 21.9%, respectively. Multivariable regression analysis revealed that age (OR: 1.099; 95% CI: 1.076 to 1.123, p<0.001), pulse pressure (OR: 1.020; 95% CI: 1.009 to 1.031, p<0.001), uric acid (OR: 1.003; 95% CI: 1.001 to 1.004, p<0.001), glycosylated haemoglobin (HbA1c) (OR: 1.152; 95% CI: 1.028 to 1.292, p=0.015) and lipoprotein(a) (OR: 1.002; 95% CI: 1.001 to 1.002, p<0.001) were independent risk factors for CAVS. High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) was a protective factor for CAVS (OR: 0.539; 95% CI: 0.349 to 0.831, p=0.005). The prediction model including the above risk factors showed a risk prediction of CAVS with good discrimination. The area under the curve value was found to be 0.743 (95% CI: 0.711 to 0.775).
Conclusion:
CAVS is currently prevalent in the elderly Chinese population. Age, pulse pressure, HbA1c, lower-level HDL-C, lipoprotein(a) and uric acid are the independent risk factors for CAVS.
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