Long-term remote observations of particulate organic phosphorus concentration in eutrophic Lake Taihu based on a...

Monitoring the long-term spatiotemporal variations in particulate organic phosphorus concentration (C_POP) is imperative for clarifying the phosphorus cycle and its biogeochemical behavior in waters. However, little attention has been devoted to this owing to a lack of suitable bio-optical algorithms that allow the application of remote sensing data. In this study, based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data, a novel absorption-based algorithm of C_POP was developed for eutrophic Lake Taihu, China. The algorithm yielded a promising performance with a mean absolute percentage error of 27.75% and root mean square error of 21.09 μg/L. The long-term MODIS-derived C_POP demonstrated an overall increasing pattern over the past 19 years (2003-2021) and a significant temporal heterogeneity in Lake Taihu, with higher value in summer (81.97 ± 3.81 μg/L) and autumn (82.07 ± 3.8 μg/L), and lower C_POP in spring (79.52 ± 3.81 μg/L) and winter (78.74 ± 3.8 μg/L). Spatially, relatively higher C_POP was observed in the Zhushan Bay (85.87 ± 7.5 μg/L), whereas the lower value was observed in the Xukou Bay (78.95 ± 3.48 μg/L). In addition, significant correlations (r > 0.6, P < 0.05) were observed between C_POP and air temperature, chlorophyll-a concentration and cyanobacterial blooms areas, demonstrating that C_POP was greatly influenced by air temperature and algal metabolism. This study provides the first record of the spatial-temporal characteristics of C_POP in Lake Taihu over the past 19 years, and the C_POP results and regulatory factors analyses could provide valuable insights for aquatic ecosystem conservation.