GRADE concept 4: rating the certainty of evidence when study interventions or comparators differ from PICO targets

Marius Goldkuhle1, Gordon H Guyatt2, Nina Kreuzberger1

  • 1Evidence-based Medicine, Department I of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany.

Abstract

Insights

This study clarifies how the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) framework addresses indirectness in systematic reviews. It focuses on treatment switching in comparator groups to ensure evidence quality.

Area of Science:

  • Evidence-based medicine
  • Systematic reviews and meta-analysis
  • Clinical guideline development

Background:

  • Systematic reviews and guidelines rely on randomized trials, but trial conditions may differ from target populations, interventions, or comparators.
  • Indirectness arises when elements like interventions, comparators, or outcomes in trials do not align with the review's focus.
  • Treatment switching, where comparator groups receive the intervention, is a key challenge in assessing indirectness.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To provide clarity on how the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) framework handles indirectness in systematic reviews.
  • To define and illustrate indirectness, particularly concerning interventions and comparators in randomized trials.
  • To guide systematic reviewers and guideline authors in evaluating evidence when trial conditions diverge from recommendation targets.

Main Methods:

  • The Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) working group developed this concept article.
  • An interdisciplinary panel utilized iterative review of examples, teleconferences, and group sessions.
  • The paper was refined through expert feedback and approved following a presentation at a GRADE working group meeting.

Main Results:

  • Differences between trial implementations and review targets in people, interventions, comparators, and outcomes are classified as indirectness.
  • A specific subcategory of indirectness, 'indirectness of interventions and comparators,' arises when comparator groups receive the intervention (treatment switching).
  • The proportion of participants switching and the magnitude of the effect influence the decision to rate down evidence quality due to indirectness.

Conclusions:

  • Treatment switching and other discrepancies between intended and implemented interventions/comparators in trials are considered issues of indirectness.
  • The GRADE framework provides a structured approach to evaluating and addressing indirectness in systematic reviews.
  • Accurate assessment of indirectness is crucial for the validity and reliability of evidence-based recommendations.

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