Genetic Evidence Causally Linking Pancreas Fat to Pancreatic Cancer: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is highly lethal, and any clues to understanding its elusive etiology could lead to breakthroughs in prevention, early detection, or treatment. Observational studies have shown a relationship between pancreas fat accumulation and PDAC, but the causality of this link is unclear. We therefore investigated whether pancreas fat is causally associated with PDAC using two-sample Mendelian randomization.

We leveraged eight genetic variants associated with pancreas fat (P<5×10 ^-8 ) from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) in the UK Biobank (25,617 individuals), and assessed their association with PDAC in the Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium I-III and the Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium dataset (8,275 PDAC cases and 6,723 non-cases). Causality was assessed using the inverse-variance weighted method. Although none of these genetic variants were associated with body mass index (BMI) at genome-wide significance, we further conducted a sensitivity analysis excluding genetic variants with a nominal BMI association in GWAS summary statistics from the UK Biobank and the Genetic Investigation of Anthropometric Traits consortium dataset (806,834 individuals).

Genetically determined higher levels of pancreas fat using the eight genetic variants was associated with increased risk of PDAC. For one standard deviation increase in pancreas fat levels (i.e., 7.9% increase in pancreas fat fraction), the odds ratio of PDAC was 2.46 (95%CI:1.38-4.40, P=0.002). Similar results were obtained after excluding genetic variants nominally linked to BMI (odds ratio:3.79, 95%CI:1.66-8.65, P=0.002).

This study provides genetic evidence for a causal role of pancreas fat in the pathogenesis of PDAC. Thus, reducing pancreas fat could lower the risk of PDAC.