Chest CT opportunistic biomarkers for phenotyping high-risk COVID-19 patients: a retrospective multicentre study

Anna Palmisano1,2, Chiara Gnasso1,2, Alberto Cereda3

  • 1Experimental Imaging Center, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Via Olgettina 60, Milan, Italy.

European Radiology
|May 11, 2023
PubMed

Insights

Opportunistic biomarkers from chest CT scans can identify high-risk COVID-19 patients. These CT-derived markers improve risk stratification, aiding in predicting severe outcomes and guiding treatment decisions for SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Area of Science:

  • Radiology and Imaging
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Cardiology

Background:

  • Chest computed tomography (CT) is routinely performed on hospitalized COVID-19 patients.
  • Opportunistic findings on these CT scans may offer valuable prognostic information.
  • Phenotypization of high-risk COVID-19 patients is crucial for effective management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the utility of opportunistic biomarkers from admission chest CT scans for phenotyping high-risk COVID-19 patients.
  • To determine if these biomarkers can enhance the prediction of severe outcomes in COVID-19.

Main Methods:

  • A multicentre retrospective study analyzed 1669 COVID-19 patients with chest CTs within 72 hours of admission.
  • Opportunistic data on atherosclerotic profile, liver steatosis, myosteatosis, and osteoporosis were extracted from CT scans.
  • Multivariate logistic regression models were used to assess prediction capabilities.

Main Results:

  • CT-derived biomarkers (atherosclerosis, steatosis, osteoporosis) were more prevalent in patients with severe disease, ICU admission, and in-hospital death (p < 0.05).
  • A model incorporating clinical and CT variables improved prediction of non-critical pneumonia (AUC 0.801 vs 0.789) and patient death (AUC 0.815 vs 0.800) compared to clinical variables alone.

Conclusions:

  • Opportunistic biomarkers from chest CT scans significantly enhance the characterization and risk stratification of COVID-19 patients.
  • These biomarkers can identify subclinical comorbidities, improving prognostic accuracy even without extensive clinical data.
  • CT-derived opportunistic findings offer a valuable tool for managing COVID-19 patients and predicting outcomes.
Abstract

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