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Updated: Jul 30, 2025

Evaluation of Host-Pathogen Responses and Vaccine Efficacy in Mice
Published on: February 22, 2019
Time-dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model
Jennifer Loria1,2, Vinicius V L Albani3, Francisco A B Coutinho4
1Instituto de Matemática Pura e Aplicada, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Abstract:
In this paper we calculate the variation of the estimated vaccine efficacy (VE) due to the time-dependent force of infection resulting from the difference between the moment the Clinical Trial (CT) begins and the peak in the outbreak intensity. Using a simple mathematical model we tested the hypothesis that the time difference between the moment the CT begins and the peak in the outbreak intensity determines substantially different values for VE. We exemplify the method with the case of the VE efficacy estimation for one of the vaccines against the new coronavirus SARS-CoV-2.
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