Growth Rates of Pulmonary Carcinoid Tumors and Hamartomas

Pulmonary nodule growth is often measured by volume doubling time (VDT), which may guide management. Most malignant nodules have a VDT of 20 to 400 days, with longer VDTs typically observed in indolent nodules. We assessed the utility of VDT in differentiating pulmonary carcinoids and hamartomas.

A review was performed from January 2012 to October 2021 to identify patients with pathologic diagnoses and at least 2 chest computed tomography scans obtained 6 or more months apart. Visualization software was used to segment nodules and calculate diameter and volume. Volume doubling time was calculated for scans with 1-mm slices. For the remainder, estimated nodule volume doubling time (eVDT) was calculated using nodule diameter. Volume doubling times/eVDTs were placed into growth categories: less than 400 days; 400-600 days; and more than 600 days.

Sixty nodules were identified, 35 carcinoids and 25 hamartomas. Carcinoids were larger than hamartomas (median diameter, 13.5 vs 11.5 mm; P = 0.05). For carcinoid tumors, median VDT (n = 15) was 1485 days, and median eVDT (n = 32) was 1309 days; for hamartomas, median VDT (n = 8) was 2040 days and median eVDT (n = 25) was 2253 days. Carcinoid tumor eVDT was significantly shorter than hamartomas ( P = 0.03). By growth category, 1 of 25 hamartomas and 5 of 35 carcinoids had eVDT less than 400 days and 24 of 25 hamartomas and 27 of 35 carcinoids had eVDT more than 600 days. Of 4 carcinoid tumors with metastases, 2 had eVDT less than 400 days and 2 had eVDT more than 600 days.

Growth rate was not a reliable differentiator of pulmonary hamartomas and carcinoids. Slow growing carcinoids can metastasize. Radiologists should be cautious when discontinuing computed tomography follow-up based on growth rates alone.