Predictors of Mortality in Trauma patients Receiving massive Transfusion Protocol

Massive transfusion protocol (MTP) is often defined as the transfusion of ≥10 units of packed red blood cells (PRBCs) in 24 hours. The purpose of this study is to determine which factors most significantly contribute to mortality in patients receiving MTP after trauma.

An initial database search followed by retrospective chart review was performed on patients treated at four trauma centers in Southern California. Data were collected on all patients who received MTP, defined as at least 10 units PRBCs within the first 24 hours of admission, between January 2015 and December 2019. Patients with isolated head injuries were excluded. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine which factors most significantly influenced mortality.

Of 1278 patients who met our inclusion criteria in the database, 596 (46.6%) survived and 682 (53.4%) died. On univariate analysis initial vitals and labs, except for initial hemoglobin and initial platelet count were significant predictors of mortality. A multivariate regression model showed the strongest predictors of mortality were pRBC transfusions at 4 hours (OR 1.073, CI 1.020-1.128, P = .006) and 24 hours (OR 1.045, CI 1.003-1.088, P = .036), and FFP transfusion at 24 hours (OR 1.049, CI 1.016-1.084, P = .003).

Our data indicates that several factors may contribute to mortality in patients receiving MTP. In particular age, mechanism, initial GCS, and PRBC transfusions at 4 and 24 hours provided the strongest correlation. Further multicenter trials are indicated to provide further guidance in deciding when to discontinue massive transfusion.