Clinical Risk Factors for Death in Patients With Empyema and Active Malignancy

Background Pleural infection is a common clinical problem resulting in prolonged hospitalization and increased mortality. In patients with active malignancy, management decisions are based on the need for further immunosuppressive therapies, the ability to tolerate surgery, and consideration of the limited life expectancy. Identifying patients at risk for death or poor outcomes is very important as it will guide care. Study design and methods This is a retrospective cohort study of all patients with active malignancy and empyema. The primary outcome was time to death from empyema at three months. The secondary outcome was surgery at 30 days. Standard Cox regression model and cause-specific hazard regression model were used to analyze the data. Results A total of 202 patients with active malignancy and empyema were included. The overall mortality rate at three months was 32.7%. On multivariable analysis, female gender and higher urea were associated with an increased risk of death from empyema at three months. The area under the curve (AUC) of the model was 0.70. The risk factors for surgery at 30 days included the presence of frank pus and postsurgical empyema. The AUC of the model was 0.76. Interpretation Patients with active malignancy and empyema have a high probability of death. In our model, the risk factors for death from empyema included female gender and higher urea.