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Dual ɛ-closed-loop Nash equilibrium method to study pandemic by numerical analysis.
Radosław Matusik1, Andrzej Nowakowski1
1Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Lodz, 90-238 Lodz, Poland.
This study introduces a new mathematical model for coronavirus pandemic dynamics, incorporating vaccination and economic costs. It establishes conditions for optimal disease control strategies using game theory.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Mathematical Modeling
- Game Theory
Background:
- Coronavirus pandemics pose significant public health and economic challenges.
- Existing disease transmission models often lack comprehensive cost and vaccination dynamics.
- Understanding disease spread is crucial for effective intervention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To present an advanced approach to modeling coronavirus pandemic transmission dynamics.
- To incorporate novel classes representing pandemic costs and individuals vaccinated without antibodies.
- To formulate conditions for a dual ɛ-closed-loop Nash equilibrium for disease control.
Main Methods:
- Development of a novel mathematical model for disease transmission.
- Inclusion of time-dependent parameters to reflect dynamic changes.
- Formulation of sufficient conditions for a dual ɛ-closed-loop Nash equilibrium using a verification theorem.
Main Results:
- A new model was constructed, enhancing existing disease transmission dynamics.
- Time-dependent parameters were integrated, allowing for more realistic scenario modeling.
- Sufficient conditions for Nash equilibrium were successfully formulated.
Conclusions:
- The developed model provides a more comprehensive framework for understanding coronavirus pandemic dynamics.
- The study offers a theoretical basis for optimizing disease control strategies through Nash equilibrium.
- The inclusion of costs and incomplete vaccination effects enhances the model's practical applicability.
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