Noise-induced transitions in gene circuits: A perturbative approach for slow noise

We consider a generic class of gene circuits affected by nonlinear extrinsic noise. To address this nonlinearity we introduce a general perturbative methodology based on assuming timescale separation between noise and gene dynamics, with fluctuations exhibiting a large but finite correlation time. We apply this methodology to the case of the toggle switch, and by considering biologically relevant log-normal fluctuations, we find that the system exhibits noise-induced transitions. The system becomes bimodal in regions of the parameter space where it would be deterministically monostable. We show that by including higher order corrections our methodology allows one to obtain correct predictions for the occurrence of transitions even for not so large correlation time of the fluctuations, thereby overcoming limitations of previous theoretical approaches. Interestingly we find that at intermediate noise intensities the noise-induced transition in the toggle switch affects one of the genes involved, but not the other one.