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Brief Report: Trends in HIV Mortality in the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic
Wendy Patterson1, Mark Rosenthal, Deepa T Rajulu
1New York State Department of Health, AIDS Institute, Division of HIV/STI Epidemiology, Evaluation, and Partner Services, Albany, NY.
Insights
Deaths among people with diagnosed HIV (PWDH) increased in 2020 due to COVID-19. However, HIV-related deaths continued to decline, showing progress in the Ending the Epidemic initiative.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted mortality rates across all populations, including people with diagnosed HIV (PWDH).
- Understanding shifts in causes of death (COD) among PWDH during the pandemic is crucial for public health strategies.
- Assessing the ongoing trend of decreasing HIV-related deaths is vital for the Ending the Epidemic initiative.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the leading causes of death (COD) among PWDH in New York State (NYS) before, during, and after the initial phase of the COVID-19 pandemic.
- To identify changes in the primary COD for PWDH.
- To evaluate if the declining trend in HIV-related deaths persisted throughout the pandemic.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the NYS HIV registry and Vital Statistics Death Data.
- Examined mortality records for PWDH who died between 2015 and 2021.
- Analyzed causes of death, distinguishing between underlying and contributing factors.
Main Results:
- A 32% increase in deaths among PWDH was observed from 2019 to 2020, with COVID-19 as a leading COD in 2020.
- In 2021, COVID-19 deaths decreased, while HIV and circulatory diseases remained top COD.
- The percentage of HIV-related deaths among PWDH consistently decreased from 45% in 2015 to 32% in 2021.
Conclusions:
- Despite a significant rise in PWDH deaths in 2020, largely attributed to COVID-19, the proportion of HIV-related deaths continued its downward trend.
- This sustained decrease in HIV-related mortality indicates progress towards the goals of the Ending the Epidemic initiative in NYS, even amidst the pandemic.
- The findings highlight the complex interplay of infectious diseases and other health conditions affecting PWDH mortality during a global health crisis.
Background:
The COVID-19 pandemic led to an increase in the number of deaths among all populations, including people with diagnosed HIV (PWDH). The aim of this study was to analyze the top causes of death (COD) among PWDH before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, during the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, and a year later; to determine changes in the leading COD among PWDH; and to determine whether the historical trend of decreasing deaths related to HIV continued through the pandemic.
Methods:
To examine mortality among PWDH in New York State (NYS), records for PWDH who died from 2015 to 2021 were extracted from the NYS HIV registry and Vital Statistics Death Data.
Results:
The number of deaths among PWDH in NYS increased 32% from 2019 to 2020 and continued in 2021. COVID-19 was one of the most common underlying COD among PWDH in 2020. In 2021, COVID-19-related deaths decreased while HIV and diseases of the circulatory system remained the top COD. HIV listed as either the underlying or contributing COD showed a consistent downward trend in the percentage of HIV-related deaths among PWDH, from 45% in 2015 to 32% in 2021.
Conclusions:
There was a large increase in deaths among PWDH in 2020, with a substantial percentage related to COVID-19. However, even with the introduction of COVID-19 in 2020, the percentage of deaths related to HIV-one of the goals of the Ending the Epidemic Initiative in NYS-continued to decrease.
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