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Published on: June 26, 2020
Association of high-priority exceptions with waitlist mortality among heart transplant candidates
Daniel Y Johnson1, Daniel Ahn2, Kevin Lazenby1
1Pritzker School of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.
Insights
Heart transplant candidates receiving exceptions had lower waitlist mortality risk than standard candidates. This suggests exception candidates may have lower medical urgency than those meeting standard criteria.
Area of Science:
- Transplant Medicine
- Cardiology
- Public Health Policy
Background:
- The US heart allocation system uses six status levels for ranking candidates.
- Transplant programs can request exceptions to elevate a candidate's status level.
- The study investigates if exception candidates possess the same medical urgency as standard candidates.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if heart transplant candidates receiving exceptions have the same medical urgency as those meeting standard criteria.
- To analyze the association between exceptions and waitlist mortality under the current allocation policy.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a longitudinal waitlist history dataset of adult heart-only transplant candidates from October 2018 to December 2021.
- Employed a mixed-effects Cox proportional hazards model to assess the impact of exceptions on waitlist mortality.
- Treated candidate status and exceptions as time-dependent covariates in the analysis.
Main Results:
- 18.2% of candidates received an exception at listing, and 15.7% after listing.
- Exception candidates exhibited approximately half the risk of waitlist mortality compared to standard candidates (HR 0.55).
- Exceptions significantly reduced mortality risk for Status 1 (HR 0.49) and Status 2 (HR 0.39) candidates.
Conclusions:
- Exception candidates demonstrated significantly lower waitlist mortality than standard candidates, even for high-priority statuses.
- These findings suggest that, on average, candidates receiving exceptions have lower medical urgency than those meeting standard criteria.
- The study highlights potential disparities in medical urgency assessment within the heart allocation system.
Background:
The US heart allocation system ranks candidates using six categorical status levels. Transplant programs can request exceptions to increase a candidate's status level if they believe their candidate has the same medical urgency as candidates who meet the standard criteria for that level. We aimed to determine if exception candidates have the same medical urgency as standard candidates.
Methods:
Using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, we constructed a longitudinal waitlist history dataset of adult heart-only transplant candidates listed between October 18, 2018 and December 1, 2021. We estimated the association between exceptions and waitlist mortality with a mixed-effects Cox proportional hazards model that treated status and exceptions as time-dependent covariates.
Results:
Out of 12,458 candidates listed during the study period, 2273 (18.2%) received an exception at listing and 1957 (15.7%) received an exception after listing. After controlling for status, exception candidates had approximately half the risk of waitlist mortality as standard candidates (hazard ratio [HR] 0.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] [0.41, 0.73], p < .001). Exceptions were associated with a 51% lower risk of waitlist mortality among Status 1 candidates (HR 0.49, 95% CI [0.27, 0.91], p = .023) and a 61% lower risk among Status 2 candidates (HR 0.39, 95% CI [0.24, 0.62], p < .001).
Conclusions:
Under the new heart allocation policy, exception candidates had significantly lower waitlist mortality than standard candidates, including exceptions for the highest priority statuses. These results suggest that candidates with exceptions, on average, have a lower level of medical urgency than candidates who meet standard criteria.
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