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Sustainable energy policies from a complexity perspective
Rubén Alexander Acevedo-Rueda1, Rodrigo Ramírez-Pisco2, Carmen Luisa Vásquez Stanescu1,2
1Doctorado en Ciencias de la Ingeniería mención Productividad, Universidad Nacional Experimental Politécnica Antonio José de Sucre, Barquisimeto, Venezuela.
Frontiers in Big Data
|May 25, 2023
Summary
This study prioritizes energy technologies for sustainable development using fuzzy logic and complex thinking. Wind energy is favored among renewables, while natural gas leads conventional sources for system security.
Area of Science:
- Energy Policy
- Sustainable Development
- Technology Prioritization
Background:
- Energy policies are crucial for economic, social, and security development.
- Sustainable development goals necessitate careful consideration of energy generation technologies.
- Contingency scenarios must inform technology selection alongside resource availability.
Purpose of the Study:
- To prioritize energy generation technologies using a fuzzy inference and uncertainty model.
- To apply complex thinking principles to energy policy formulation.
- To analyze technology prioritization under various contingent scenarios.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a fuzzy inference model and an uncertainty model for technology prioritization.
- Applied principles of complex thinking: systemic, feedback, autonomy/dependence, holographic, and recursive.
- Incorporated weights for sustainable development dimensions and formulated contingent scenarios (e.g., resource exhaustion, technology shifts).
Main Results:
- Wind technology is prioritized among renewable sources, followed by hydropower and geothermal.
- Natural gas is the leading conventional energy source, enhancing system security and fairness.
- The study highlights the need to integrate sustainability and consider complex scenarios in energy policy.
Conclusions:
- Energy policy formulation requires more than economic variables; sustainability and complex models are essential.
- Legal and institutional frameworks must adapt to support energy policy objectives.
- Continuous technological updates are necessary to refine energy strategies.
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