The value of clinical routine blood biomarkers in predicting long-term mortality after stroke

Several blood biomarkers have been identified as predictors for poor outcome after ischemic stroke. However, recent studies mainly focused on single or experimental biomarkers and considered rather short follow-up intervals limiting their value for daily clinical practice. We, therefore, aimed to compare various clinical routine blood biomarkers for their predictive value on post-stroke mortality over a 5-year follow-up period.

This data analysis of a prospective single-center study included all consecutive ischemic stroke patients admitted to the stroke unit of our university hospital over a 1-year period. Various blood biomarkers of inflammation, heart failure, metabolic disorders, and coagulation were analyzed from standardized routine blood samples collected within 24 h of hospital admission. All patients underwent a thorough diagnostic workup and were followed for 5 years post-stroke.

Of 405 patients (mean age: 70.3 years), 72 deceased (17.8%) during the follow-up period. While various routine blood biomarkers were associated with post-stroke mortality in univariable analyses, only NT-proBNP remained an independent predictor (adjusted odds ratio 5.1; 95% CI 2.0-13.1; p < 0.001) for death after stroke. NT-proBNP levels ⩾794 pg/mL (n = 169, 42%) had a sensitivity of 90% for post-stroke mortality with a negative predictive value of 97% and was additionally associated with cardioembolic stroke and heart failure (each p ⩽ 0.05).

NT-proBNP represents the most relevant routine blood-based biomarker for the prediction of long-term mortality after ischemic stroke. Increased NT-proBNP levels indicate a vulnerable subgroup of stroke patients in which early and thorough cardiovascular assessment and consistent follow-ups could improve outcome after stroke.