Prognostic Serum Biomarkers of Inflammaging in Patients Undergoing Emergency Laparotomy

Surgeons are increasingly faced with an ageing and frail patient population. There is a significant absence of biomarkers capable of risk stratifying patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. Inflammaging describes a state of chronic inflammation associated with ageing and frailty that may predict worse outcomes after surgery. This retrospective observational study evaluated pre-morbid inflammatory markers in the prognostication of older adult patients undergoing emergency laparotomy. Patients aged ≥65 years undergoing surgery between 1 April 2017 and 1 April 2022 were identified. Pre-admission and acute C-reactive protein (CRP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), total white cell count (WCC), neutrophil count (NC) and lymphocyte count (LC) datapoints were captured. Pre-operative risk stratification scores and post-operative outcomes were recorded using the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) database. A cohort of 196 patients was included: 57.7% were female, median age 74.5 years. High risk (NELA risk of mortality ≥ 5%) and frail (clinical frailty scale ≥ 4) patients experienced a significantly longer hospital and critical care stay (p < 0.05). Pre-admission ESR ≥ 16 and LC ≥ 4.1 were significantly associated with a longer critical care stay (p < 0.05); no statistical significance was observed with CRP, WCC and NC in predicting adverse outcomes. We found that an elevated pre-morbid ESR and LC identifies a potential inflammaging cohort that demonstrates worse outcomes following emergency laparotomy. The prognostication of older adult surgical patients remains a challenge and represents an area of research deserving of future attention.