Molecular risk factors for locoregional recurrence in resected non-small cell lung cancer

Locoregional recurrence is of high risk and is associated with a poor prognosis in terms of OS for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Local control is essential for radical cure of NSCLC. Previous studies have investigated the clinicopathological risk factors for locoregional recurrence, but the genomic biomarkers associated with locoregional recurrence have been inadequately studied.

A total of 118 patients who underwent tumor resection with mutation-detected tumor specimens were included. Tumor samples at surgery and pretreatment/postoperative blood samples were collected for mutational profiling.

Among 48 patients with disease recurrence, 46% developed locoregional recurrence (LR) and 75% developed distant metastasis (DM). The 3-year actuarial risk of LR and DM was 25% and 43%, respectively. The first sites of failure were locoregional only (29%), locoregional and distant (10%), and distant only (61%). Patients with LR showed significantly higher ctDNA level than those with only DM at the time of initial recurrence. On multivariate analysis of baseline risk factors, the presence of allele frequency heterogeneity and baseline ctDNA shedding were found to be independently associated with a higher risk of LR. Patients with disruptive TP53 mutations had significantly lower LR-free survival as compared to patients with wild-type TP53 or nondisruptive mutations. EGFR mutations showed a favorable prognostic value for LR and is not induced by EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy. Both disruptive TP53 mutation and EGFR mutation remained the significant prognostic factor after adjustment for histological type, pathologic nodal stage and adjuvant therapy.

Nearly half of disease recurrences after surgery for NSCC involved locoregional sites. We identified genomic biomarkers from baseline tumor and ctDNA samples which showed promising prognostic value for LR only. This can help identify patients who had a higher risk of locoregional recurrence regardless of the risk of distant metastasis.