Female crash fatality risk relative to males for similar physical impacts

This paper estimates the latest trends regarding the effect of sex on driver-side or right-front passenger-side occupant fatalities in fatal crashes. The focus is on how recent model year (MY) light vehicles with advanced occupant protection technologies compare to older vehicles without these protections in terms of female fatality risk relative to males.

Data from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) from 1975 to 2019 is used to calculate estimates of female fatality risk relative to males using logistic regression models and the double-pair comparison method. These estimates are calculated in various groups of MY vehicles and occupant protection systems. Occupant protection systems observed are the use of seat belts, and the availability of dual air bags, pretensioners and load limiters in the vehicles. All vehicles used include occupants age 16 to 96. Occupants studied include front-row occupants (drivers and right-front (RF) passengers). The average between drivers and RF passengers is also calculated.

Incremental female fatality risk estimates versus males are reduced in newer MY vehicles. Incremental relative risks for female front-row occupants (average of drivers and right-front passengers) are found to be 19.9% (± 1.3) in fatal crashes in MY 1960-1999 vehicles, and 9.4% (± 2.2) percent in MY 2000-2020 vehicles. The difference in fatality risk between females and males is further reduced when looking at MY 2010-2020 vehicles (6.3 ± 5.4%) compared to MY 1960-2009 vehicles (18.3 ± 1.2%). Incremental fatality risk estimates also decrease in vehicles with newer generations of occupant protection systems regardless of MY. When occupants are belted in vehicles with the latest generation of modern occupant protection systems (dual air bags, seat belt pretensioners and load limiters), the estimated female fatality risk relative to males (average of drivers and right-front passengers) becomes 5.8% (± 3.8), which is lower than for belted occupants in vehicles without those occupant protections.

The disparity in fatality risk between males and females for the same physical impacts is reduced for later MY vehicles, as well as vehicles with more advanced occupant protection systems.