Prediction of CKD Progression and Cardiovascular Events Using Albuminuria and Pulse Wave Velocity

Rasmus Kirkeskov Carlsen1,2, Dinah Sherzad Khatir1, Danny Jensen1

  • 1Department of Renal Medicine, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.

Insights

Urine albumin-creatinine ratio predicts chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression and adverse cardiovascular events. Arterial stiffness, measured by pulse wave velocity (PWV), did not show predictive value in this CKD patient cohort.

Area of Science:

  • Nephrology
  • Cardiology
  • Biomarker Discovery

Background:

  • Chronic kidney disease (CKD) significantly increases risks for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality.
  • Established biomarkers like albuminuria are crucial, yet additional predictors for CKD progression and CVD are needed.
  • Arterial stiffness, assessed via carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (PWV), is a measurable parameter linked to CVD and mortality.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the predictive capabilities of urine albumin-creatinine (UAC) ratio and PWV for CKD progression, cardiovascular events, and mortality.
  • To identify reliable biomarkers for risk stratification in patients with CKD stages 3-5.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of 181 CKD stage 3-5 patients had baseline measurements of UAC and PWV.
  • CKD progression was defined by a 50% eGFR decline, dialysis initiation, or renal transplantation.
  • A composite endpoint included CKD progression, myocardial infarction, stroke, or death, analyzed using adjusted Cox regression.

Main Results:

  • Urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UAC) significantly predicted both CKD progression (HR 1.5) and the composite endpoint (HR 1.4) in adjusted analyses.
  • Carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (PWV) was not associated with CKD progression (HR 0.99) or the composite endpoint (HR 1.03).
  • The study included 181 patients with a median follow-up of 4 years, observing 44 CKD progressions and 89 composite events.

Conclusions:

  • Urine albumin-creatinine ratio serves as a valuable predictor of CKD progression and adverse outcomes in an aging CKD population.
  • Pulse wave velocity (PWV) did not demonstrate predictive utility for CKD progression or the composite endpoint in this cohort.
  • These findings highlight the importance of UAC as a prognostic biomarker in managing CKD patients.
Abstract

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