Diagnostic performance of clinical likelihood models of obstructive coronary artery disease to predict myocardial

Laust Dupont Rasmussen1, Line Emilie Brøgger Albertsen1, Louise Nissen1

  • 1Department of Cardiology, Gødstrup Hospital, Hospitalsparken 15, Herning DK-7400, Denmark.

Insights

The coronary artery calcium score-weighted (CACS-CL) model significantly improved the diagnosis of myocardial perfusion defects (MPDs) in patients with suspected coronary artery disease compared to traditional clinical likelihood (CL) models.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Medical Imaging
  • Diagnostic Accuracy

Background:

  • Clinical likelihood (CL) models for coronary artery disease (CAD) typically rely on coronary stenosis as a reference standard.
  • A reference standard for myocardial perfusion defects (MPDs) may be more appropriate for assessing CAD.
  • Existing models like the European Society of Cardiology pre-test probability (ESC-PTP) have limitations in accurately stratifying risk.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the diagnostic performance of the 2019 ESC-PTP, risk-factor-weighted CL (RF-CL), and coronary artery calcium score-weighted CL (CACS-CL) models for identifying MPDs.
  • To compare the ability of these models to classify patients into low-risk categories for obstructive CAD and MPDs.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of 3374 symptomatic stable chest pain patients underwent coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) and myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI).
  • MPDs were defined by CCTA findings of suspected stenosis combined with stress-perfusion abnormalities in at least two segments.
  • ESC-PTP, RF-CL, and CACS-CL models were calculated using varying combinations of age, sex, symptom typicality, risk factors, and CACS.

Main Results:

  • The prevalence of MPDs in the study population was 6.5% (219/3374).
  • RF-CL and CACS-CL models classified significantly more patients into a low CL (<5%) category for obstructive CAD compared to ESC-PTP (54.1% and 32.5% vs. 12.0%, respectively).
  • The CACS-CL model demonstrated superior discrimination for MPDs (AUC 0.88) compared to ESC-PTP (AUC 0.74), while RF-CL showed similar performance (AUC 0.73).

Conclusions:

  • The RF-CL and CACS-CL models enhance the down-classification of patients to a very low-risk group.
  • These advanced models, particularly CACS-CL, offer improved diagnostic accuracy for MPDs in patients with suspected obstructive CAD.
  • Utilizing MPDs as a reference standard and incorporating CACS improves risk stratification for coronary artery disease.
Abstract

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