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Calibrating ensembles for scalable uncertainty quantification in deep learning-based medical image segmentation.

Thomas Buddenkotte1, Lorena Escudero Sanchez2, Mireia Crispin-Ortuzar3

  • 1Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Department of Radiology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom; Department for Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, University Hospital Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany; Jung diagnostics GmbH, Hamburg, Germany.

Computers in Biology and Medicine
|June 11, 2023
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Summary

This study introduces a scalable framework for uncertainty quantification in medical image segmentation. It improves upon classical methods by providing more accurate probability estimates, enhancing active learning and human-machine collaboration.

Keywords:
Deep learningSegmentationUncertainty quantification

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Area of Science:

  • Medical Image Analysis
  • Machine Learning
  • Computer Vision

Background:

  • Uncertainty quantification is crucial for reliable automated image analysis, especially with deep learning models.
  • Current methods for uncertainty quantification in deep learning models are often computationally expensive and do not scale well.
  • Existing approaches struggle to accurately approximate classification probabilities in complex, high-dimensional problems.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a scalable and intuitive framework for uncertainty quantification in medical image segmentation.
  • To address the limitations of classical uncertainty quantification techniques in deep learning.
  • To provide uncertainty measurements that approximate classification probabilities for improved model interpretability and utility.

Main Methods:

  • Proposed a novel, scalable framework for uncertainty quantification in medical image segmentation.
  • Demonstrated the failure of classical methods (e.g., dropout, ensembling) to approximate classification probabilities.
  • Utilized k-fold cross-validation to eliminate the need for separate calibration datasets.

Main Results:

  • The proposed framework yields uncertainty measurements that approximate classification probabilities.
  • Classical uncertainty quantification approaches were shown to be inadequate for accurate probability approximation.
  • K-fold cross-validation effectively replaced the need for held-out calibration data.

Conclusions:

  • The developed framework offers a scalable and accurate solution for uncertainty quantification in medical image segmentation.
  • The method supports enhanced active learning and human-machine collaboration by generating reliable pseudo-labels.
  • This work advances the reliability and applicability of deep learning in medical imaging analysis.