Dynamics and profiles of a degenerated reaction-diffusion host-pathogen model with apparent and inapparent infection
1Engineering Research Center of Agricultural Microbiology Technology, Ministry of Education & Heilongjiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Ecological Restoration and Resource Utilization for Cold Region & School of Mathematical Science, Heilongjiang University, Harbin 150080, PR China.
Abstract:
Inapparent infection plays an important role in the disease spread, which is an infection by a pathogen that causes few or no signs or symptoms of infection in the host. Many pathogens, including HIV, typhoid fever, and coronaviruses such as COVID-19 spread in their host populations through inapparent infection. In this paper, we formulated a degenerated reaction-diffusion host-pathogen model with multiple infection period. We split the infectious individuals into two distinct classes: apparent infectious individuals and inapparent infectious individuals, coming from exposed individuals with a ratio of and , respectively. Some preliminary results and threshold-type results are achieved by detailed mathematical analysis. We also investigate the asymptotic profiles of the positive steady state (PSS) when the diffusion rate of susceptible individuals approaches zero or infinity. When all parameters are all constants, the global attractivity of the constant endemic equilibrium is established. It is verified by numerical simulations that spatial heterogeneity of the transmission rates can enhance the intensity of an epidemic. Especially, the transmission rate of inapparent infectious individuals significantly increases the risk of disease transmission, compared to that of apparent infectious individuals and pathogens in the environment, and we should pay special attentions to how to regulate the inapparent infectious individuals for disease control and prevention, which is consistent with the result on the sensitive analysis to the transmission rates through the normalized forward sensitivity index. We also find that disinfection of the infected environment is an important way to prevent and eliminate the risk of environmental transmission.
Insights
Inapparent infections significantly drive disease spread, as shown by a mathematical model. Controlling these hidden infections and environmental pathogens is crucial for effective disease prevention and management.
Area of Science:
- Mathematical modeling
- Epidemiology
- Infectious disease dynamics
Background:
- Inapparent infections, where hosts show few or no symptoms, are key drivers of pathogen transmission for diseases like HIV, typhoid fever, and COVID-19.
- Understanding the role of inapparent infections is critical for developing effective disease control strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To formulate and analyze a reaction-diffusion host-pathogen model that distinguishes between apparent and inapparent infectious individuals.
- To investigate the impact of inapparent infections on disease spread and identify key factors for control.
Main Methods:
- Development of a degenerated reaction-diffusion host-pathogen model with distinct classes for apparent and inapparent infectious individuals.
- Mathematical analysis to derive threshold-type results and analyze the asymptotic profiles of the positive steady state.
- Numerical simulations to explore the effects of spatial heterogeneity and transmission rates.
Main Results:
- The model confirms that inapparent infectious individuals significantly increase disease transmission risk.
- Spatial heterogeneity in transmission rates can intensify epidemics.
- Disinfection of the environment is identified as an important preventive measure.
Conclusions:
- Inapparent infections pose a substantial threat to public health and require targeted control measures.
- Mathematical modeling provides valuable insights into disease dynamics and informs prevention strategies.
- Environmental disinfection is a critical component of integrated disease control efforts.
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