Incidence and factors associated with chronic chikungunya arthritis following chikungunya virus infection

Chikungunya virus infection is a mosquito-borne illness. First-phase symptoms include fever, malaise, rash, and arthritis (self-limiting). Some patients can have chronic-phase symptoms, including chronic tenosynovitis, bursitis, and arthritis. This study aimed to determine the incidence and risk factors of chronic arthritis in patients with chikungunya infection.

This retrospective cohort study analysed all adults diagnosed with chikungunya infection between 2015 and 2020 at our centre. Baseline and follow-up symptoms were evaluated in serologically confirmed cases. Chronic chikungunya arthritis was persistent arthritis >3 months after the onset. Patients who had preexisting chronic inflammatory arthritis and were lost to follow-up before 3 months from diagnosis were excluded.

This study enrolled 120 patients. The median age was 51 (IQR 14) years, and 78% were female. The median number of joints with arthritis was 4 (IQR 8). The initial visual analog scale (VAS) score was 50 mm (IQR 40). Small joints of the hands, wrist, and knee (44.2%, 43.3%, and 42.3%, respectively) were the most affected. The incidence of chronic chikungunya arthritis was 40.4%. From the multivariable logistic regression, the initial number of joints with arthritis, initial VAS scores, and female sex were independently associated with chronic chikungunya arthritis with odds ratios of 1.09 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.18), 1.03 (95% CI 1.01-1.06), and 4.17 (95% CI, 1.05-16.67), respectively.

Chronic chikungunya arthritis is common in patients with chikungunya virus infection. Its predictive factors include the initial number of joints with arthritis, initial VAS scores, and female sex.