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Published on: April 8, 2013
Abstract:
From 1977 to 1982, the admission rate in Minneapolis-St. Paul (Twin Cities) has been falling faster than the national average, and faster than the rate in selected comparison metropolitan areas. A natural question regards the impact of Twin Cities HMOs on decreased admission rates. This analysis shows that one's estimate of the HMO effect on total admission rates depends crucially on the estimated "spillover" effect, that is, the effect of HMOs on the non-HMO sector. Using secondary age-adjusted data, the analysis provides estimates of upper and lower bounds on the HMOs' effect on admission rates.
Insights
Minneapolis-St. Paul
Area of Science:
- Health Services Research
- Public Health Policy
- Healthcare Economics
Background:
- Hospital admission rates in Minneapolis-St. Paul (Twin Cities) declined significantly between 1977 and 1982.
- This decline outpaced national trends and comparison metropolitan areas.
- The role of Health Maintenance Organizations (HMOs) in this trend was investigated.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the impact of Twin Cities HMOs on decreasing hospital admission rates.
- To determine how the "spillover" effect of HMOs on the non-HMO sector influences the overall HMO effect on admission rates.
Main Methods:
- Utilized secondary, age-adjusted data for analysis.
- Estimated the "spillover" effect of HMOs on non-HMO sectors.
- Calculated upper and lower bounds for the HMOs' impact on admission rates.
Main Results:
- The estimated impact of HMOs on total admission rates is highly dependent on the "spillover" effect.
- Analysis provided a range (upper and lower bounds) for the HMOs' influence on admission rates.
Conclusions:
- The "spillover" effect is a critical factor in understanding HMOs' impact on healthcare utilization.
- Further research may refine the precise quantification of HMO effects on hospital admissions.
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