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Published on: August 15, 2019
Conditional inference in cis-Mendelian randomization using weak genetic factors
Ashish Patel1, Dipender Gill2,3, Paul Newcombe1
1MRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Abstract:
Mendelian randomization (MR) is a widely used method to estimate the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome by using genetic variants as instrumental variables. MR analyses that use variants from only a single genetic region (cis-MR) encoding the protein target of a drug are able to provide supporting evidence for drug target validation. This paper proposes methods for cis-MR inference that use many correlated variants to make robust inferences even in situations, where those variants have only weak effects on the exposure. In particular, we exploit the highly structured nature of genetic correlations in single gene regions to reduce the dimension of genetic variants using factor analysis. These genetic factors are then used as instrumental variables to construct tests for the causal effect of interest. Since these factors may often be weakly associated with the exposure, size distortions of standard t-tests can be severe. Therefore, we consider two approaches based on conditional testing. First, we extend results of commonly-used identification-robust tests for the setting where estimated factors are used as instruments. Second, we propose a test which appropriately adjusts for first-stage screening of genetic factors based on their relevance. Our empirical results provide genetic evidence to validate cholesterol-lowering drug targets aimed at preventing coronary heart disease.
Insights
This study introduces novel Mendelian randomization (MR) methods using genetic factors for robust causal inference, even with weak genetic associations. These techniques validate drug targets for conditions like coronary heart disease.
Area of Science:
- Genetics
- Biostatistics
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Mendelian randomization (MR) uses genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer causal relationships between exposures and outcomes.
- Cis-MR, utilizing variants near a drug's target gene, supports drug target validation.
- Challenges arise when using multiple correlated variants with weak effects on the exposure.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop robust cis-MR methods for causal inference using correlated genetic variants with potentially weak effects.
- To enhance drug target validation by improving the reliability of MR analyses in specific genetic regions.
Main Methods:
- Factor analysis to reduce dimensionality of correlated genetic variants within a single gene region.
- Development of conditional testing approaches for cis-MR inference.
- Extension of identification-robust tests for estimated genetic factors as instruments.
- Proposal of a new test accounting for first-stage screening of genetic factors.
Main Results:
- The proposed methods provide robust causal effect estimations even with weak genetic associations.
- Empirical results offer genetic evidence supporting cholesterol-lowering drug targets for coronary heart disease prevention.
- Factor analysis effectively handles the structured nature of genetic correlations in cis-regions.
Conclusions:
- The developed cis-MR methods enhance the validity of drug target inference.
- These statistical advancements contribute to the genetic validation of therapeutic targets for cardiovascular diseases.
- The approach offers a more reliable way to assess drug efficacy through genetic epidemiology.
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