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A semiautomated risk assessment method for consumer products.
Nohel Zaman1, David M Goldberg2, Richard J Gruss3
1Department of Management, Information Systems & Quantitative Methods, University of Alabama - Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
This study introduces a product risk assessment model using online reviews to identify hazards and estimate risk. The model aligns well with expert judgments on hazard likelihood, aiding product safety evaluations.
Area of Science:
- Consumer Product Safety
- Data Science
- Risk Management
Background:
- Assessing product risk is crucial for consumer safety and regulatory compliance.
- Existing methods for product risk assessment can be resource-intensive and may not capture real-time consumer feedback.
- Online reviews offer a rich source of data for understanding product hazards and risks.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a novel model for assessing product risk using online consumer reviews.
- To identify unique linguistic indicators of product hazards from e-commerce platforms.
- To evaluate the model's consistency with expert assessments of risk likelihood and severity.
Main Methods:
- Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques to identify hazard-related keywords and phrases in online reviews.
- Development of a scoring system for risk severity (hazard weights) and risk likelihood (review volume proxy for sales).
- Validation of the model by comparing its output with expert judgments on a curated set of consumer products.
Main Results:
- The developed model effectively identifies unique words and phrases associated with product hazards.
- The model demonstrates strong consistency with expert assessments of hazard likelihood.
- Consistency with expert judgments on hazard severity was found to be lower, indicating an area for future refinement.
Conclusions:
- The proposed model offers a viable method for product risk identification, characterization, and mitigation.
- This approach can assist organizations in proactively managing product safety by leveraging readily available online data.
- Further research can enhance the model's accuracy in assessing hazard severity for more comprehensive risk management.
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