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Classification and prediction of cognitive performance differences in older age based on brain network patterns using

Camilla Krämer1,2, Johanna Stumme1,2, Lucas da Costa Campos1,2

  • 1Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine (INM-1), Research Centre Jülich, Jülich, Germany.

Network Neuroscience (Cambridge, Mass.)
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Summary

Resting-state functional connectivity (RSFC) parameters show limited ability to predict cognitive performance in healthy aging adults. Machine learning models struggled to classify or predict cognitive differences using these brain network measures.

Keywords:
AgingCognitionGraph-theoretical analysesMachine learningResting-state functional connectivity

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Area of Science:

  • Neuroscience
  • Cognitive Science
  • Machine Learning

Background:

  • Cognitive aging varies significantly among healthy older adults, potentially due to differences in brain network functional architecture.
  • Resting-state functional connectivity (RSFC) parameters are established markers of brain architecture and aid in diagnosing neurodegenerative diseases.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the utility of RSFC parameters in classifying and predicting cognitive performance variations in the normally aging brain using machine learning (ML).
  • To evaluate the classifiability and predictability of global and domain-specific cognitive performance from nodal and network-level RSFC measures.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from healthy older adults (55-85 years) from the 1000BRAINS study.
  • Employed machine learning (ML) to analyze nodal and network-level RSFC strength measures.
  • Systematically evaluated ML performance across various analytical choices using a robust cross-validation scheme.

Main Results:

  • Classification accuracy for global and domain-specific cognition did not surpass 60%.
  • Prediction performance was low, with high mean absolute errors (MAE ≥ 0.75) and minimal explained variance (R² ≤ 0.07).
  • These outcomes were consistent across different cognitive targets, feature sets, and pipeline configurations.

Conclusions:

  • Functional network parameters have limited potential as sole biomarkers for cognitive aging.
  • Predicting cognitive function from functional network patterns in healthy aging is challenging.