Role of HPV in the Prediction of Persistence/Recurrence After Treatment for Cervical Precancer

(1) To determine the role of human papillomavirus (HPV) testing after excisional treatment of cervical precancer. (2) To determine clinical factors associated with persistence of cervical precancer post-treatment.

A retrospective chart review was conducted including patients who had a loop electrosurgical excision procedure (LEEP) for cervical precancer (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 3/adenocarcinoma in situ/high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions [HSIL]). All patients treated between 2016 and 2018 at a tertiary centre colposcopy unit were included. Persistence/recurrence of disease was defined as high-grade cytology or histology identified during the time of follow-up. Univariate and multivariate regression models were performed to identify factors associated with persistence/recurrence and HPV positivity at exit testing.

A total of 284 patients were included. The median follow-up time was 19 months. Of the LEEP specimens, 90.8% (n = 258) demonstrated HSIL and 3.9% (n = 11) had adenocarcinoma in situ. 28.5% (n = 81) of the LEEP specimens had positive margins. In follow-up, 72.9% had negative cytology, 17.6% had atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance/low-grade SIL, 1.8% had atypical squamous cells, HSIL cannot be excluded/low-grade SIL-H, and 6.7% had HSIL. At the final follow-up, 27.8% (n = 79) were HPV+. Overall rate of persistence/recurrence was 11.3% (n = 32); median time to persistence/recurrence was 6.5 months. Multivariate regression models demonstrated that follow-up HPV positivity (OR = 22.0) and positive margins (OR = 3.7) were significantly associated with persistence/recurrence. Similarly, in univariate regression models, positive margins were significant (OR = 2.2) for predicting HPV positivity in exit testing.

Persistence/recurrence of precancer can occur due to incomplete treatment of lesions by local excision and by the persistence of HPV infection. Surveillance strategies for women treated for cervical precancer require a risk-based approach and should rely on HPV testing.