Analysis of Genome-Wide Mutational Dependence in Naturally Evolving Mycobacterium tuberculosis Populations

Pathogenic microorganisms are in a perpetual struggle for survival in changing host environments, where host pressures necessitate changes in pathogen virulence, antibiotic resistance, or transmissibility. The genetic basis of phenotypic adaptation by pathogens is difficult to study in vivo. In this work, we develop a phylogenetic method to detect genetic dependencies that promote pathogen adaptation using 31,428 in vivo sampled Mycobacterium tuberculosis genomes, a globally prevalent bacterial pathogen with increasing levels of antibiotic resistance. We find that dependencies between mutations are enriched in antigenic and antibiotic resistance functions and discover 23 mutations that potentiate the development of antibiotic resistance. Between 11% and 92% of resistant strains harbor a dependent mutation acquired after a resistance-conferring variant. We demonstrate the pervasiveness of genetic dependency in adaptation of naturally evolving populations and the utility of the proposed computational approach.