Vitamin D status and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease risk: a prospective UK Biobank study

Low vitamin D status has been linked to an increased risk for various inflammatory diseases. Conflicting results have been reported regarding chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This study aims to investigate the associations of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations with COPD risk and survival.

We included 403 648 participants with serum 25(OH)D measurements and free of COPD at baseline from UK Biobank. Follow-up was until 30 September 2021. Multivariable-adjusted cox regression models were applied to estimate HRs and 95% CIs for the associations of season-standardised 25(OH)D concentrations with COPD risk and survival. The restricted cubic splines were used to assess dose-response relationship. Kaplan-Meier estimation was used to create graphs of the survival curves.

During a median follow-up of 12.3 (IQR: 11.4-13.2) years, 11 008 cases of COPD were recorded. We observed a non-linear inverse association between 25(OH)D concentrations and COPD risk. Compared with participants in the fourth quintile of 25(OH)D, those in the lowest quintile were associated with a 23% higher risk (HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.16 to 1.31). Stronger associations were observed for the risk in men and current smokers (Both p for interaction <0.05). In survival analyses, compared with the fourth quintile, cases in the lowest quintile had a 38% higher risk for overall death (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.22 to 1.56).

Our findings indicate that serum 25(OH)D concentrations are non-linearly negatively associated with incidence and mortality of COPD, suggesting a potential protective role of vitamin D in the pathogenesis of COPD.