Clinical Course of Patients in Cardiogenic Shock Stratified by Phenotype

Elric Zweck1, Manreet Kanwar2, Song Li3

  • 1The CardioVascular Center, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Division of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Vascular Medicine, University Hospital Dusseldorf, Dusseldorf, Germany.

JACC. Heart Failure
|June 24, 2023
PubMed

Insights

Three distinct cardiogenic shock (CS) phenotypes were confirmed, showing similar mortality rates and clinical features across different patient groups. These validated CS phenotypes can guide future clinical trials and personalized treatment strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Machine Learning in Medicine
  • Critical Care Medicine

Background:

  • Cardiogenic shock (CS) has high in-hospital mortality (30-60%) despite advances, complicated by its heterogeneity.
  • Three distinct CS phenotypes (noncongested, cardiorenal, cardiometabolic) were previously identified in the Cardiogenic Shock Working Group (CSWG) registry V1.
  • These phenotypes present challenges for clinical trial design and patient management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To externally validate machine learning-based CS phenotypes.
  • To define the clinical course and outcomes associated with each CS phenotype.
  • To assess the reproducibility of CS phenotypes in an independent cohort.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized 1,890 all-cause CS patients from the CSWG registry version 2.
  • Applied nearest centroids method to identify CS phenotypes based on initial clusters.
  • Retrospectively identified phenotypes in 796 patients for analysis.

Main Results:

  • In-hospital mortality rates for phenotypes I, II, and III were 23%, 41%, and 52%, consistent with V1 findings (21%, 45%, 55%).
  • Phenotype-specific demographic, hemodynamic, and metabolic characteristics were reproducible.
  • Mechanical circulatory support use varied by phenotype (58.8% in I, 45.7% in II, 51.9% in III) and was linked to increased mortality in cardiorenal CS (OR 1.82).
  • Phenotypes II and III, and SCAI stage E, independently predicted increased mortality.

Conclusions:

  • The study supports the universal applicability of these machine learning-derived CS phenotypes.
  • These validated phenotypes can inform the design of future clinical trials for CS.
  • Tailored management algorithms based on specific CS phenotypes are feasible and recommended.
Abstract

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